3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,299 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 226 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,651/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,012
Tax + insurance
−$321
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$347
Net cashflow
$-29/mo
Annual
$-343/yr
Cap rate
6.12%
Cash-on-cash
-0.63%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$54,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $193k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-29 ($-343/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (2.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (14.5% below list).
It's been on market 226 days — a 12% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#418 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Beech Grove City Schools (suburban): math 17% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #269 of 301 in IN (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $142k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.4% in Beech Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 226 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PDVVX47FNP4M10
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29