2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,702/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$939
Tax + insurance
−$424
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$357
Net cashflow
$-19/mo
Annual
$-224/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.45%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$50,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-224/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (1.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (4.9% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $170k (4.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#310 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Coxsackie-Athens Central School District (town): math 43% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #384 of 590 in NY (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $104k; list at $179k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.2% in Coxsackie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PF2AG7B99Y9W8W
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29