3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,001 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,727/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$372
Tax + insurance
−$118
HOA
−$500
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$363
Net cashflow
$374/mo
Annual
$4,488/yr
Cap rate
12.61%
Cash-on-cash
22.58%
DSCR
2.00
1% rule
2.43%
Cash to close
$19,879
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $71k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $374 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $71k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $491 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Fayette County (urban): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #27 of 165 in KY (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,036 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (542 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 3.8% in Lexington-Fayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PF7ZASA11ZR96C
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29