3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,849/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$388
Net cashflow
$914/mo
Annual
$10,963/yr
Cap rate
20.01%
Cash-on-cash
49.00%
DSCR
3.18
1% rule
2.31%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $914 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,325 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Eastern York SD (rural): math 40% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #146 of 539 in PA (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Canadochly El Sch (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #737 of 1,518 statewide, top 52%, 381 students, 56% FRL); Eastern York Ms (math 30% / reading 70%, grade C, #129 of 512 statewide, top 26%, 517 students, 48% FRL); Eastern York Hs (math 77% / reading 24%, grade D+, #125 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 632 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 32% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $48k; list at $80k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PFQ5HV4RXKHTKQ
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29