3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,475 sqft ·
Built 2004
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,808/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$230
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$380
Net cashflow
$19/mo
Annual
$224/yr
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.36%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($224/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (19.6% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $181k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#643 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A, cost of living A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Glen Lake Community Schools (rural): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #88 of 540 in MI (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Glen Lake Community School (math 47% / reading 56%, 711 students, 34% FRL).
Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Leelanau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Leelanau County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PG3G35B9NCN091
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29