2815 Mesa Verde Dr

Llano Grande, TX 78596

$53,000B+

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 910 sqft · Built 1986 · Manufactured · Active · 8 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,208/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$278
• Tax + insurance: −$88
• HOA: −$54
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$254
• Net cashflow: $534/mo
• Annual: $6,413/yr
• Cap rate: 18.39%
• Cash-on-cash: 43.22%
• DSCR: 2.92
• 1% rule: 2.28%
• Cash to close: $14,840

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $53k. Condition is rated fair.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $534 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $53k).
• Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• In year one you build about $56 of equity ($366 loan paydown + $-310 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,288 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Weslaco ISD (suburban): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #705 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Dr R E Margo El (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 914 students, 87% FRL); Armando Cuellar Middle (math 22% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,200 of 1,662 statewide, top 73%, 626 students, 88% FRL); Weslaco East H S (math 24% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,250 of 1,632 statewide, top 77%, 2,004 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 59% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 711 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Major: Exterior paint — Paint is chipping and needs repainting.
• Major: Landscaping — Overgrown areas and lack of curb appeal need attention.
• Minor: Kitchen appliances — No appliances are visible in the kitchen, but this is a cosmetic issue.