16 bd · 16.0 ba ·
2,127 sqft ·
Built 1916
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 60 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,899/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$187
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$609
Net cashflow
$687/mo
Annual
$8,246/yr
Cap rate
9.35%
Cash-on-cash
10.91%
DSCR
1.49
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 4 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $687 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $172/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $262k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#228 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Jasper City (town): math 27% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #23 of 129 in AL (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: T R Simmons Elementary School (526 students, 52% FRL); Maddox Intermediate School (math 26% / reading 59%, grade D-, #51 of 257 statewide, top 20%, 636 students, 61% FRL); Jasper High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 814 students, 53% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walker County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $270k implies a 350% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.8% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PGXKYTC35VYGR4
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29