3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,109 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$997/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$220
Tax + insurance
−$114
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$209
Net cashflow
$453/mo
Annual
$5,440/yr
Cap rate
19.25%
Cash-on-cash
46.26%
DSCR
3.06
1% rule
2.37%
Cash to close
$11,760
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $453 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($997 rent vs $42k).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $41k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($290 loan paydown + $914 appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#704 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Oil City Area SD (town): math 20% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #436 of 539 in PA (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $42k implies a 320% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 9.6% in Oil City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PHTRHC1KMMXWVR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29