3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,463 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,364/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$359
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$496
Net cashflow
$-38/mo
Annual
$-459/yr
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.56%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-38 ($-459/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $288k (2.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (19.9% below list).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $236k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#169 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Pharr Elementary School (math 60% / reading 63%, grade B, #114 of 1,228 statewide, top 9%, 790 students, 52% FRL); Couch Middle School (math 33% / reading 50%, grade F, #132 of 470 statewide, top 28%, 1,087 students, 49% FRL); Grayson High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 3,284 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 299 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $150k; list at $295k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.9% in Snellville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PHYXVR1ZJJ0BFM
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29