336 Davis St

New Bedford, MA 02746

$445,000C

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,676 sqft · Built 1901 · MultiFamily · Price Changed · 18 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $4,598/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,334
• Tax + insurance: −$416
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$966
• Net cashflow: $883/mo
• Annual: $10,598/yr
• Cap rate: 8.67%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.51%
• DSCR: 1.38
• 1% rule: 1.03%
• Cash to close: $124,600

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $445k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $883 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $445k).
• It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($438k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $438k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#155 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: cost of living C-, schools D, employment D.
• New Bedford (suburban): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #287 of 302 in MA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 760 units permitted in Bristol County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Bristol County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $125k; list at $445k implies a 256% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.7% in New Bedford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $4,598/mo this rent would consume 132% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2314% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.