5 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,627/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,411
Tax + insurance
−$384
HOA
−$107
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$552
Net cashflow
$174/mo
Annual
$2,082/yr
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.76%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$75,320
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $269k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (2.4% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $261k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $170k; list at $269k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PJ3K8N0ZZYYYBM
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29