4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,368 sqft ·
Built 1898
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,190/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$661
Tax + insurance
−$210
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$250
Net cashflow
$69/mo
Annual
$831/yr
Cap rate
6.95%
Cash-on-cash
2.36%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$35,280
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $126k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($831/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (5.6% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $119k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($871 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#121 in NE, #4,675 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Red Cloud Community Schools (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #219 of 245 in NE (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Red Cloud Elementary School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #319 of 502 statewide, top 68%, 163 students, 58% FRL); Red Cloud High School (math 44% / reading 44%, grade F, #146 of 261 statewide, top 67%, 106 students, 46% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Webster County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Webster County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $126k implies a 320% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PJ3KQE8XJVQ20R
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29