2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
796 sqft ·
Built 2002
· Condo
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,782/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$383
HOA
−$340
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$374
Net cashflow
$-521/mo
Annual
$-6,258/yr
Cap rate
3.57%
Cash-on-cash
-9.72%
DSCR
0.57
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$64,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $230k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-521 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (32.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (22.5% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $155k (32.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 33% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn appearance
Minor: Living room carpet
— Significant wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-PJ942P05XJC1QK
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29