3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
978 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Townhouse
· Active
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,618/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$880
Tax + insurance
−$261
HOA
−$105
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$340
Net cashflow
$32/mo
Annual
$383/yr
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.82%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$46,984
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $168k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($383/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (3.6% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $162k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#408 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Northcutt Elementary School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #873 of 1,228 statewide, top 71%, 693 students, 90% FRL); North Clayton Middle School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #356 of 470 statewide, top 78%, 767 students, 90% FRL); North Clayton High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #336 of 424 statewide, top 80%, 1,206 students, 90% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 651 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $56k; list at $168k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in College Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PJESF2BX72ZKYS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29