4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,536 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,355/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$616
Tax + insurance
−$191
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$285
Net cashflow
$263/mo
Annual
$3,153/yr
Cap rate
8.98%
Cash-on-cash
9.58%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$32,900
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $118k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $812 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#585 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, crime F.
Public Schools Of Calumet Laurium & Keweenaw (town): math 37% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #160 of 540 in MI (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 111 units permitted in Houghton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Houghton County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $88k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 5.2% in Calumet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PJF510FS660EA7
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29