2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,064 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$974/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$54
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$204
Net cashflow
$427/mo
Annual
$5,123/yr
Cap rate
15.61%
Cash-on-cash
33.27%
DSCR
2.48
1% rule
1.77%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $427 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($974 rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#95 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities D, commute F, employment F.
Bladen County Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #161 of 178 in NC (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Elizabethtown Middle (math 7% / reading 20%, grade F, #466 of 475 statewide, top 98%, 320 students, 99% FRL); East Bladen High (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #374 of 535 statewide, top 71%, 545 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 159 units permitted in Bladen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bladen County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PJZSTXF81MQAJV
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29