3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,896 sqft ·
Built 2022
· Townhouse
· Active
· 159 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,413/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$1,265
HOA
−$255
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$507
Net cashflow
$-1,161/mo
Annual
$-13,927/yr
Cap rate
1.57%
Cash-on-cash
-16.86%
DSCR
0.25
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $295k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (19.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (18.2% below list).
It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($260k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $239k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#140 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Westfield-Washington Schools (suburban): math 58% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #10 of 301 in IN (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Monon Trail Elementary School (math 55% / reading 43%, grade D, #301 of 994 statewide, top 30%, 572 students, 29% FRL); Westfield Middle School (math 46% / reading 62%, grade B-, #31 of 330 statewide, top 9%, 1,429 students, 18% FRL); Westfield High School (math 61% / reading 85%, grade B+, #8 of 369 statewide, top 2%, 2,665 students, 18% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 1050 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 4,661 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (1,528 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamilton County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 1.6% vs local median 3.2% in Westfield — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-PKA8G53FQ1K2ER
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29