3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,077/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$237
Tax + insurance
−$75
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$226
Net cashflow
$538/mo
Annual
$6,461/yr
Cap rate
20.59%
Cash-on-cash
51.05%
DSCR
3.27
1% rule
2.38%
Cash to close
$12,656
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $538 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $313 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#683 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Alton CUSD 11 (suburban): math 12% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #544 of 620 in IL (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Gilson Brown Elem School (274 students, 0% FRL); Alton Middle School (math 10% / reading 11%, grade F, #580 of 665 statewide, top 88%, 1,241 students, 0% FRL); Alton High School (math 20% / reading 25%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 1,990 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 20.6% vs local median 3.6% in Godfrey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of wear and discoloration suggest significant damage and potential water intrusion.
Major: siding
— The siding is visibly worn and discolored, indicating it needs repainting or replacement.
Major: landscaping
— The overgrown landscaping detracts from the home's curb appeal and requires trimming and maintenance.
Major: interior walls/paint
— The exterior condition suggests the interior may also be in poor condition, requiring repainting or repairs.
Major: systems
— The overall condition suggests the systems may need updating or replacement to ensure the home is move-in ready.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PKZCDM1KF4T9HR
· Data 58 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29