2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 2008
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 110 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,940/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$430
Tax + insurance
−$137
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$407
Net cashflow
$966/mo
Annual
$11,589/yr
Cap rate
20.43%
Cash-on-cash
50.47%
DSCR
3.25
1% rule
2.37%
Cash to close
$22,960
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $966 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $82k).
It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $567 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#498 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
Woodbine School District (rural): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #552 of 612 in NJ (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Ceiling fans
— Ceiling fans are present but not visible in the photos.
Minor: Furniture and decor
— Furniture and decor appear outdated.
Minor: Paint
— Paint appears faded in some areas.
Minor: Landscaping
— No visible landscaping or curb appeal.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29