15 bd · 15.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$13,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,113
Tax + insurance
−$1,625
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,835
Net cashflow
$3,927/mo
Annual
$47,124/yr
Cap rate
11.13%
Cash-on-cash
17.26%
DSCR
1.77
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$273,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/5.0-bath units multifamily listed at $975k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($47k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($14k rent vs $975k).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($946k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $946k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $29k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#227 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Wanaque School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #222 of 472 in NJ (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 860 units permitted in Passaic County in 2024 (614 in 5+ unit buildings).
Passaic County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $273k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PN799EBMZ4KDMA
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29