518 Wilder St

Dungannon, VA 24245

$135,000D

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,188 sqft · Built 1950 · SingleFamily · Active · 22 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,030/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$708
• Tax + insurance: −$111
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$216
• Net cashflow: $-6/mo
• Annual: $-66/yr
• Cap rate: 6.24%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.18%
• DSCR: 0.99
• 1% rule: 0.76%
• Cash to close: $37,800

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-66/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $134k (0.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (23.7% below list).
• It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $103k (23.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#450 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
• Scott County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #33 of 131 in VA (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Fort Blackmore Primary (math 70% / reading 70%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 89 students, 94% FRL); Dungannon Elementary School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade D-, #295 of 342 statewide, top 87%, 84 students, 75% FRL); Twin Springs High (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B-, #231 of 319 statewide, top 75%, 242 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 48% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Scott County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.