2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,087 sqft ·
Built —
· Townhouse
· Active
· 176 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,963/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,272
Tax + insurance
−$404
HOA
−$353
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$412
Net cashflow
$-478/mo
Annual
$-5,734/yr
Cap rate
3.93%
Cash-on-cash
-8.45%
DSCR
0.62
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$67,900
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $205k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-478 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (15.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (4.2% below list).
It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $173k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#244 in FL, #3,860 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Round Lake Elementary School (math 76% / reading 71%, grade A, #260 of 2,144 statewide, top 13%, 1,194 students, 31% FRL, charter); Mt. Dora Middle School (math 45% / reading 45%, grade D, #310 of 571 statewide, top 56%, 846 students, 48% FRL); Mt. Dora High School (math 32% / reading 46%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 1,334 students, 38% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 942 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 75d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 3.1% in Mount Dora — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PPN7TSD71PX4QN
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29