2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,104 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Condo
· Coming Soon
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,872/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$917
Tax + insurance
−$212
HOA
−$420
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$393
Net cashflow
$-70/mo
Annual
$-837/yr
Cap rate
5.81%
Cash-on-cash
-1.71%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$48,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-837/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (7.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $163k (7.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#101 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Parkway C-2 (suburban): math 49% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #18 of 324 in MO (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Ross Elem. (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 385 students, 32% FRL); North High (math 35% / reading 70%, grade C-, #89 of 521 statewide, top 17%, 1,074 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 33% FRL vs 14% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 56% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Parkway C-2 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $72k; list at $175k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.3% in Maryland Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PQ2NG10D0A651V
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29