3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,560 sqft ·
Built 1950
· Other
· Active
· 362 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,094/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$843
HOA
−$780
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$650
Net cashflow
$-489/mo
Annual
$-5,868/yr
Cap rate
5.99%
Cash-on-cash
-1.07%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-489 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $179k (28.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
It's been on market 362 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $179k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Portland SD 1J (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #23 of 183 in OR (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Faubion Elementary School (610 students, 73% FRL); Da Vinci Middle School (434 students, 34% FRL); Benson Polytechnic High School (824 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 37% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 25% of rent; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 182 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $184k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.2% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($113k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 362 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29