2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,381 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Pending
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,702/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$221
HOA
−$540
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$357
Net cashflow
$-203/mo
Annual
$-2,435/yr
Cap rate
4.67%
Cash-on-cash
-5.80%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-203 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (23.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#248 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, crime F.
Southfield Public School District (urban): math 17% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #392 of 540 in MI (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.0%/yr); 80 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $43k; list at $150k implies a 249% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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