1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 466 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$814/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$76
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$171
Net cashflow
$48/mo
Annual
$573/yr
Cap rate
6.87%
Cash-on-cash
2.07%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($573/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $81k (17.8% below list).
It's been on market 466 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#188 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
Kingman Unified School District (79598) (town): math 19% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #179 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 300 active listings in the ZIP; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $31k; list at $99k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.2% in Dolan Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 466 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PR8ZF2FJRWD5HC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29