2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
836 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Condo
· Active
· 114 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$14,748/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,861
Tax + insurance
−$2,498
HOA
−$1,718
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,097
Net cashflow
$-426/mo
Annual
$-5,113/yr
Cap rate
5.95%
Cash-on-cash
-1.22%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$419,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $1.50M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-426 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.44M (4.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.47M (1.6% below list).
It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.36M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.36M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $160k of equity ($10k loan paydown + $150k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#740 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Westhampton Beach Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #81 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Westhampton Beach Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #525 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 356 students, 43% FRL); Westhampton Middle School (math 61% / reading 63%, grade B+, #136 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 434 students, 26% FRL); Westhampton Beach Senior High School (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #147 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 964 students, 24% FRL).
Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 60d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$258k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 9.0% in Westhampton Beach — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
At $14,748/mo this rent would consume 141% of the median local household income ($125k/yr) (locally 19% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— The cabinets appear dated and may need updating or repainting.
Minor: bathroom shower curtains
— The shower curtains are colorful and may need replacing with more neutral tones.
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