4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,330 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 405 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,747/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,498
Tax + insurance
−$1,112
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$787
Net cashflow
$-1,649/mo
Annual
$-19,792/yr
Cap rate
3.33%
Cash-on-cash
-10.60%
DSCR
0.53
1% rule
0.56%
Cash to close
$186,748
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $525k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-20k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $428k (18.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $375k (28.6% below list).
It's been on market 405 days — a 12% lower offer ($462k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $375k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#153 in WA, #3,284 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, cost of living F.
White River School District (suburban): math 57% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #35 of 291 in WA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 235 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 405 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PS63VFD83DMRQC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29