3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,312 sqft ·
Built 1957
· Condo
· Active
· 189 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,064/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$408
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$434
Net cashflow
$-62/mo
Annual
$-748/yr
Cap rate
5.99%
Cash-on-cash
-1.09%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-748/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (3.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (15.7% below list).
It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $206k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#35 in NC, #3,421 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A-, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities D, crime F.
Wake County Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #35 of 178 in NC (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: North Garner Middle (math 29% / reading 38%, grade F, #299 of 475 statewide, top 64%, 975 students, 57% FRL); Garner High (math 32% / reading 56%, grade F, #367 of 535 statewide, top 69%, 1,683 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 30% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 39% at this address vs 56% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Wake County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 490 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,249 units permitted in Wake County in 2024 (5,568 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wake County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.3% in Garner — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-PS973Z6435A7VN
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29