2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,568 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 178 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,303/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$287
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$-17/mo
Annual
$-209/yr
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.51%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-209/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (2.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (10.1% below list).
It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#126 in IA, #2,312 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Davenport Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #288 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 805 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (479 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scott County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $105k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.4% in Davenport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PSEP1SAX3Q9P77
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29