3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
252 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Land
· Active
· 191 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,595/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$63
HOA
−$900
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$335
Net cashflow
$-148/mo
Annual
$-1,782/yr
Cap rate
4.20%
Cash-on-cash
-7.49%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
1.88%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-148 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $59k (30.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $59k (30.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#45 in UT, #2,413 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities D-.
Davis District (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #28 of 80 in UT (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Wasatch School (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #432 of 585 statewide, top 74%, 447 students, 56% FRL); North Davis Jr High (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #101 of 138 statewide, top 73%, 924 students, 46% FRL); Clearfield High (math 23% / reading 41%, grade F, #111 of 171 statewide, top 68%, 2,030 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 19% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Davis District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 56% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 387 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,461 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davis County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PSHJVWAV33BJZQ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29