3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
942 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$847/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$106
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$196/mo
Annual
$2,356/yr
Cap rate
9.66%
Cash-on-cash
12.02%
DSCR
1.53
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($847 rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#199 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
Hutchinson Public Schools (town): math 15% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #157 of 169 in KS (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Hutchinson Middle School 8 (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #172 of 219 statewide, top 79%, 295 students, 70% FRL); Hutchinson High School (math 11% / reading 19%, grade F, #249 of 327 statewide, top 79%, 1,299 students, 62% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 68 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Reno County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Reno County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PSWTMNC0BQN96D
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29