4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
600 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,401/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$317
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$504
Net cashflow
$-256/mo
Annual
$-3,067/yr
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.13%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-256 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $305k (12.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (31.4% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $240k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#417 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Kingsway Regional School District (rural): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #175 of 472 in NJ (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: General Charles G. Harker School (math 35% / reading 47%, grade F, #459 of 1,303 statewide, top 35%, 649 students, 18% FRL); Kingsway Regional Middle School (math 27% / reading 55%, grade F, #188 of 431 statewide, top 44%, 954 students, 11% FRL); Kingsway Regional High School (math 31% / reading 51%, grade F, #180 of 399 statewide, top 46%, 1,947 students, 10% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $1; list at $350k implies a 34999900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.7% in Swedesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 37 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29