4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,080 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,056/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,439
Tax + insurance
−$297
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$642
Net cashflow
$-322/mo
Annual
$-3,866/yr
Cap rate
5.46%
Cash-on-cash
-2.97%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$130,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $465k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-322 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $408k (12.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $306k (34.3% below list).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($437k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $306k (34.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Santa Fe Public Schools (urban): math 34% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #6 of 29 in NM (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 195 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 244 units permitted in Santa Fe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PT62E35TE5K0WH
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29