3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,457 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 183 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,150/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$267
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$-197/mo
Annual
$-2,363/yr
Cap rate
4.82%
Cash-on-cash
-5.27%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-197 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (17.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (28.1% below list).
It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#211 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Perryville School District (rural): math 36% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #112 of 238 in AR (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Perryville Elementary School (math 40% / reading 35%, grade F, #225 of 454 statewide, top 50%, 475 students, 61% FRL); Perryville High School (math 32% / reading 36%, grade F, #110 of 292 statewide, top 38%, 429 students, 54% FRL).
Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP.
Perry County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $160k implies a 191% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 24 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29