3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,011 sqft ·
Built 1996
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,090/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,887
Tax + insurance
−$866
HOA
−$45
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$649
Net cashflow
$-357/mo
Annual
$-4,290/yr
Cap rate
5.10%
Cash-on-cash
-4.26%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$100,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $360k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-357 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $297k (17.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $309k (14.1% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($355k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $297k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Winslow Township School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #387 of 472 in NJ (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Winslow Township Elementary School Four (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,065 of 1,303 statewide, top 83%, 493 students, 44% FRL); Winslow Township Middle School (math 14% / reading 42%, grade F, #335 of 431 statewide, top 79%, 764 students, 46% FRL); Winslow Township High School (math 10% / reading 36%, grade F, #337 of 399 statewide, top 85%, 1,273 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PTDCN20K3V63J5
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29