1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
690 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Active
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,622/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,830
Tax + insurance
−$582
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$551
Net cashflow
$-341/mo
Annual
$-4,089/yr
Cap rate
5.12%
Cash-on-cash
-4.18%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$97,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $349k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-341 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $300k (14.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $262k (24.9% below list).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $262k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 405 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,622/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 6765% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-PTDN05ADZFG76Q
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29