1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
750 sqft ·
Built 1955
· Condo
· Active
· 295 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,795/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$482
Tax + insurance
−$153
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$587
Net cashflow
$1,572/mo
Annual
$18,864/yr
Cap rate
26.80%
Cash-on-cash
73.23%
DSCR
4.26
1% rule
3.04%
Cash to close
$25,760
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $92k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $92k).
It's been on market 295 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $636 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#315 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, cost of living F.
Port Chester-Rye Union Free School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #428 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 26.8% vs local median 4.3% in Port Chester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 295 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PTGS2T2P92HX8X
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29