2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$648/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$488
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$136
Net cashflow
$-73/mo
Annual
$-881/yr
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.38%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$26,040
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $93k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-73 ($-881/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $80k (13.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $65k (30.3% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $65k (30.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($643 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#417 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Porter Consolidated (rural): math 7% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #243 of 270 in OK (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Porter Consolidated Es (math 7% / reading 18%, grade F, #648 of 845 statewide, top 77%, 397 students, 0% FRL); Porter Consolidated Hs (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #361 of 447 statewide, top 94%, 155 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 581 units permitted in Wagoner County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wagoner County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PTJQXA9GCR0AWW
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29