3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,900 sqft ·
Built 1930
· Other
· Active
· 125 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,100/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$178
Tax + insurance
−$56
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$231
Net cashflow
$635/mo
Annual
$7,617/yr
Cap rate
28.76%
Cash-on-cash
80.24%
DSCR
4.57
1% rule
3.24%
Cash to close
$9,492
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $34k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $635 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $34k).
It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $30k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($234 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#783 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Zoned schools: Pine Crest Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,259 of 2,056 statewide, top 62%, 415 students, 0% FRL); Mary Miller Junior High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #510 of 665 statewide, top 78%, 196 students, 0% FRL); Georgetown-Ridge Farm High School (math 15% / reading 5%, grade F, #528 of 693 statewide, top 82%, 259 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PTN15A98E9968Z
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29