4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,084 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,705/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,857
Tax + insurance
−$590
HOA
−$33
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$568
Net cashflow
$-343/mo
Annual
$-4,121/yr
Cap rate
5.13%
Cash-on-cash
-4.16%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$99,168
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $354k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-343 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $304k (14.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (23.6% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $271k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,273 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Lamar CISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #116 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Beasley El (math 42% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 366 students, 86% FRL); George J H (math 27% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,156 of 1,662 statewide, top 71%, 1,173 students, 81% FRL); B F Terry H S (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #888 of 1,632 statewide, top 55%, 1,739 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 43% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lamar CISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 232 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PTN9V081D8EWEZ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29