3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,960 sqft ·
Built 2006
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 221 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,042/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$321
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$429
Net cashflow
$-18/mo
Annual
$-219/yr
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.31%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-219/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $247k (1.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (18.3% below list).
It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $204k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (9.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#70 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Bartow County (rural): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #70 of 174 in GA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Adairsville Elementary School (math 55% / reading 39%, grade D-, #301 of 1,228 statewide, top 25%, 869 students, 49% FRL); Adairsville Middle School (math 36% / reading 40%, grade F, #159 of 470 statewide, top 34%, 843 students, 49% FRL); Adairsville High School (math 24% / reading 18%, grade F, #225 of 424 statewide, top 54%, 1,170 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 181 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,618 units permitted in Bartow County in 2024 (265 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $58k; list at $250k implies a 335% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (9.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.1% in Adairsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PVYHCF178SAJ9V
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29