2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
805 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Condo
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,606/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$876
Tax + insurance
−$120
HOA
−$344
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$337
Net cashflow
$-70/mo
Annual
$-844/yr
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.80%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$46,760
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $167k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-844/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (7.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (3.8% below list).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $155k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#23 in SC, #3,459 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
York 04 (suburban): math 65% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #1 of 80 in SC (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Sugar Creek Elementary (math 55% / reading 61%, grade C+, #98 of 597 statewide, top 16%, 780 students, 40% FRL); Springfield Middle (math 58% / reading 62%, grade B, #14 of 229 statewide, top 6%, 691 students, 44% FRL); Nation Ford High (math 74% / reading 94%, grade A, #13 of 196 statewide, top 7%, 1,877 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 38% FRL vs 15% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 359 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,550 units permitted in York County in 2024 (350 in 5+ unit buildings).
York County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $133k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.3% in Fort Mill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($110k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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