4717 Gibson Blvd SE

Albuquerque, NM 87108

$299,000D

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Built 1985 · Other · Pending · 131 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,091/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,568
• Tax + insurance: −$312
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$439
• Net cashflow: $-228/mo
• Annual: $-2,739/yr
• Cap rate: 5.38%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.27%
• DSCR: 0.85
• 1% rule: 0.70%
• Cash to close: $83,720

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $299k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-228 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $259k (13.5% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (30.1% below list).
• It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $209k (30.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
• Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Coronado Elementary (308 students, 30% FRL); Wilson Middle (401 students, 100% FRL); Highland High (math 30% / reading 70%, grade D+, #36 of 110 statewide, top 45%, 1,152 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 60% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 63% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Albuquerque Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.6% in Albuquerque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $2,091/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 3480% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.