1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Active
· 121 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,640/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,599
Tax + insurance
−$508
HOA
−$935
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$554
Net cashflow
$-957/mo
Annual
$-11,486/yr
Cap rate
2.53%
Cash-on-cash
-13.45%
DSCR
0.40
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$85,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $305k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-957 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (45.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (13.4% below list).
It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $166k (45.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#55 in FL, #965 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Beachside Elementary School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 556 students, 66% FRL); Ormond Beach Middle School (math 57% / reading 55%, grade B-, #175 of 571 statewide, top 31%, 990 students, 48% FRL); Seabreeze High School (math 31% / reading 56%, grade F, #248 of 667 statewide, top 38%, 1,654 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 479 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 81% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 2.5% vs local median 3.9% in Ormond Beach — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-PWAXXXBR7A7SBH
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29