4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,659 sqft ·
Built 1906
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,233/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$198
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$259
Net cashflow
$173/mo
Annual
$2,077/yr
Cap rate
8.10%
Cash-on-cash
6.45%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#81 in IA, #1,683 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
South Hamilton Community School District (rural): math 77% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #30 of 289 in IA (top 10%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamilton County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $115k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PWBAAE7KV33E38
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29