1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
893 sqft ·
Built 1997
· Condo
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,735/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,830
Tax + insurance
−$955
HOA
−$722
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$784
Net cashflow
$-557/mo
Annual
$-6,679/yr
Cap rate
5.85%
Cash-on-cash
-1.60%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$97,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $349k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-557 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $251k (28.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $349k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($344k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $251k (28.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#127 in FL, #1,834 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $113k; list at $349k implies a 209% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.6% in Aventura — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,735/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29