3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,500 sqft ·
Built —
· Condo
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,145/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,274
Tax + insurance
−$1,358
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,710
Net cashflow
$802/mo
Annual
$9,626/yr
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.22%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$228,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $815k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $802 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $814k (0.1% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($791k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $791k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#72 in NJ, #1,762 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D+, cost of living F.
Ocean City School District (urban): math 31% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #212 of 472 in NJ (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 419 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.3% in Ocean City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PWDN8G0FDDPZRE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29