707 Fox Den

Red Chute, LA 71037

$269,707D-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,580 sqft · Built 2010 · Other · Pending · 31 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,113/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,414
• Tax + insurance: −$283
• HOA: −$19
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$444
• Net cashflow: $-47/mo
• Annual: $-562/yr
• Cap rate: 6.08%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.74%
• DSCR: 0.97
• 1% rule: 0.78%
• Cash to close: $75,518

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $270k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-562/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (3.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (21.7% below list).
• It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $211k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#290 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
• Bossier Parish (urban): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #17 of 98 in LA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Stockwell Place Elementary School (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A-, #27 of 646 statewide, top 5%, 594 students, 45% FRL); Cope Middle School (math 42% / reading 54%, grade C-, #35 of 218 statewide, top 16%, 836 students, 58% FRL); Airline High School (math 49% / reading 56%, grade C-, #30 of 265 statewide, top 12%, 2,021 students, 56% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 57% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Bossier Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: 335 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 716 units permitted in Bossier Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Bossier County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.