4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,192 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 161 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,050/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$624
Tax + insurance
−$198
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$850
Net cashflow
$2,377/mo
Annual
$28,525/yr
Cap rate
30.26%
Cash-on-cash
85.61%
DSCR
4.81
1% rule
3.40%
Cash to close
$33,320
Investor read
This is a 3 × 4-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $119k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive. Per door: $792/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $119k).
It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#174 in NY, #2,710 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Binghamton City School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #557 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Calvin Coolidge School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,646 of 2,108 statewide, top 80%, 312 students, 72% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 30.3% vs local median 6.4% in Binghamton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-PX8YEC4TXG07D5
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29